Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.175808 0.201003 0.229195 0.263200 0.303268 0.349170 0.406015
2025-11-16 0.133557 0.165913 0.205847 0.259284 0.329708 0.420460 0.548074
2025-11-23 0.108849 0.143357 0.189035 0.254985 0.349546 0.483036 0.690880
2025-11-30 0.095608 0.131991 0.182972 0.261379 0.382146 0.566694 0.881439
2025-12-07 0.083071 0.119040 0.171786 0.257175 0.396714 0.624687 1.045336
2025-12-14 0.074681 0.110614 0.165488 0.258550 0.419133 0.698431 1.254124
2025-12-21 0.067599 0.103059 0.159183 0.258385 0.438196 0.769451 1.476808
2025-12-28 0.062936 0.098624 0.157073 0.264613 0.469180 0.868273 1.784058
2026-01-04 0.058528 0.094004 0.153923 0.268271 0.495698 0.963867 2.114613
2026-01-11 0.054736 0.089942 0.151131 0.271984 0.522749 1.066403 2.496157
2026-01-18 0.051900 0.087186 0.150253 0.279094 0.557949 1.194947 2.990900
2026-01-25 0.048593 0.083217 0.146633 0.280113 0.580093 1.298556 3.458462
2026-02-01 0.045381 0.079164 0.142514 0.279775 0.599859 1.403369 3.980982
2026-02-08 0.042293 0.075050 0.137838 0.277629 0.615219 1.501760 4.531887
2026-02-15 0.039317 0.070861 0.132541 0.273338 0.624552 1.586675 5.080057
2026-02-22 0.037745 0.069246 0.132269 0.280344 0.663958 1.768662 6.082729
2026-03-01 0.035266 0.065593 0.127358 0.275793 0.672010 1.859510 6.780322
2026-03-08 0.033537 0.063303 0.125098 0.277287 0.697014 2.011749 7.835655
2026-03-15 0.031823 0.060892 0.122321 0.277108 0.717335 2.155510 8.952212
2026-03-22 0.030771 0.059773 0.122282 0.283870 0.759665 2.390504 10.701000
2026-03-29 0.029591 0.058276 0.121228 0.287841 0.794518 2.611520 12.565985
2026-04-05 0.028498 0.056872 0.120246 0.291874 0.830646 2.851787 14.770756
2026-04-12 0.027706 0.056065 0.120580 0.299599 0.880935 3.170475 17.814796